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US Cuts Tariffs on India, Reverses Russia Oil Penalty; Indian Businesses Set to Gain ₹40,000 Crore Relief

New Delhi: In a major breakthrough for India-United States trade relations, the US administration has announced a substantial rollback of punitive tariffs imposed on Indian goods, providing significant relief to Indian exporters and businesses. The decision includes a reduction in the reciprocal tariff rate from 50% to 18% and the reversal of an additional 25% penalty tariff that had been imposed on India for importing crude oil from Russia. According to official estimates, this move is expected to deliver relief worth nearly ₹40,000 crore to Indian businesses.

The announcement marks a turning point after months of trade tensions between the two countries, triggered primarily by India’s continued purchase of discounted Russian oil amid global sanctions following the Ukraine conflict. The decision reflects both economic pragmatism and diplomatic recalibration, as India and the US move towards stabilising trade relations through an interim trade agreement.

Trade tensions between India and the US escalated sharply in 2025 when Washington introduced a series of tariff measures targeting Indian exports. On April 2, 2025, the US imposed a 10% baseline tariff on Indian goods. This was followed on April 5, when US President Donald Trump announced a steep 26% tariff on Indian imports.

Although the tariffs were temporarily suspended for 90 days starting April 9, negotiations failed to yield immediate results. By July 31, 2025, the US announced the imposition of a 25% reciprocal tariff on India, which came into effect on August 1. Soon after, on August 6, the US introduced an additional 25% tariff as a punitive measure, citing India’s continued imports of Russian crude oil.

By August 27, 2025, the cumulative tariff burden on Indian exports to the US reached 50%, placing Indian exporters at a significant disadvantage compared to competitors from other countries.

India responded by proposing retaliatory duties worth ₹32,000 crore at the World Trade Organization (WTO) on July 10, 2025, arguing that the US measures were unilateral, discriminatory, and inconsistent with multilateral trade rules.

On February 2, 2026, the US administration announced a major rollback. The reciprocal tariff on Indian goods was reduced from 50% to 18%, bringing India among the countries with relatively lower tariff rates in US trade policy.

More importantly, the US decided to reverse the additional 25% penalty tariff that had been imposed specifically in response to India’s oil purchases from Russia. According to information released by the White House, imports made between August 27, 2025, and February 6, 2026, will be eligible for refunds of the penalty amount.

The refund process will be implemented under the US Customs and Border Protection Act. While the refund will be issued to US importers, it is expected that Indian exporters will negotiate a share of the refunded amount, ensuring that Indian businesses also benefit from the relief.

According to US Treasury data, the US imposed tariffs on imported goods worth $79 billion in 2024, a figure that rose sharply to $194 billion in 2025. India accounts for approximately 3.5% of total US imports.

Around 60% of Indian exports to the US were subject to tariffs during the period of heightened trade restrictions. As a result, the US reportedly collected nearly $4 billion (approximately ₹40,000 crore) by imposing a 50% tariff on Indian imports. This entire amount is now expected to be refunded, at least partially, offering a major boost to Indian exporters.

Although the exact distribution of refunds between US importers and Indian exporters remains unclear, industry experts believe that Indian businesses will receive a substantial share of the relief, improving liquidity and restoring competitiveness in the US market.

Despite the rollback of tariffs, the US has adopted a cautious approach. President Trump has constituted a three-minister task force comprising the US Commerce Secretary, Secretary of State, and Treasury Secretary to monitor India’s compliance with the interim trade agreement.

The task force has been mandated to ensure that India does not resume large-scale imports of Russian oil. If the committee concludes that India has violated the understanding, it may recommend the re-imposition of the 25% penalty tariff and other punitive measures.

This monitoring mechanism highlights the strategic sensitivity surrounding energy trade, especially amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and sanctions regimes.

Meanwhile, Russia has stated that India has not issued any official declaration indicating that it will stop buying Russian oil. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov, responding to media queries, said that Moscow is analysing President Trump’s statements regarding India but has not received any formal communication from New Delhi on the matter.

This has added a layer of diplomatic ambiguity, suggesting that India may be maintaining strategic flexibility in its energy sourcing while navigating pressure from Western partners.

President Trump has also claimed that India will now buy oil from Venezuela instead of Iran and Russia. Speaking aboard Air Force One on February 1, Trump stated that India had stopped purchasing oil from Venezuela earlier but would resume imports under the new arrangement.

On February 2, Trump asserted that a deal with India had already been finalised and that China could also buy oil from Venezuela if it wished. However, these claims have not been officially confirmed by the Indian government, leaving questions about the exact contours of India’s energy strategy.

Addressing domestic concerns, the Indian government has emphasised that the trade deal does not compromise the interests of Indian farmers. Union Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan clarified that several agricultural products from the US have not been granted tariff exemptions and will not be allowed entry into India.

These include unhulled grains and flour, potatoes, onions, peas, beans, cucumbers, mushrooms, oranges, grapes, lemons, and assorted canned vegetables. The exclusion of these products aims to protect Indian farmers from import competition and price volatility.

Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal described the agreement as a “transactional arrangement” that balances concessions with market access. He stated that opening the US market would increase Indian farmers’ incomes and dismissed criticism that the joint statement lacked safeguards.

According to US Ambassador to India Sergio Gor, the tariff agreement is a result of long-standing diplomatic engagement and personal rapport between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Donald Trump. Speaking to NDTV, Gor said that some technical papers would be signed shortly, but the deal was nearly final.

He noted that India, which was earlier subject to very high tariffs, is now among the countries facing relatively lower tariff rates compared to other major economies. For instance, tariffs on Russia and Brazil stand at 50%, China at 34%, South Africa at 30%, while India’s rate has been reduced to 18%. The European Union and Japan face tariffs of 15%.

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